Thom Hogan on “something that might be called a Z9II”

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Raw precapture is the single change I would like to see most in my Z9 and Z8s. (Of course there are many other improvements that would be nice.) I’d take HE* and something less than 30 fps if needed, if the change comes in new firmware. I can’t see buying a Z9II or Z8II as an upgrade without raw precapture. And if it comes in a new camera, rather than a firmware update, I think the performance bar would be higher. I think I’d want at least 30 fps with HE* in a new camera.
 
I don’t think it’s so much that sports photojournalists are a dominant part of the market but it’s that they are visible and therefore influential. Nikon, Canon, and Sony work diligently to cater their needs
and i think we can generalize to just photojournalists in general. i think we're not too far off to where a journalist clicks the shutter, the camera marks it with c2pa and it's uploaded to the cloud where the editors will pick it up and publish it.

and jpg is probably optimal for that workflow, not only because it's fast, but also because it's ready-to-go.
 
Honestly I'd rather see them pursue some of the low hanging fruit with further firmware updates and work on a true successor camera. I have a feeling a lukewarm Z9ii and follow-on models down the line will result in far less hardware sales. We are now in a time when these cameras are already doing things very well.

That low hanging fruit list would not sell a camera to me personally and I'd skip a generation. I don't think Nikon wants to get in that situation for sales.

As it stands the Z9 is a solid firmware update (with the Z8) away from still being competitive with Sony and Canons latest iterations. Just add RAW pre-capture and refine the AF while selling them for less and it's competitive.

Dropping an A1ii style *new* camera that looks like a very expensive firmware update probably won't sell very well. They need to take more time and release a real updated camera that pushes all of the brands forward.
Completely agree with this. I would much rather Nikon focus on software for a couple of years. Even if we have to pay for major release.
I suspect that expeed 7 still has good headroom. 30fps raw and pre-capture should be feasible. Just drop the bit rate down a la Sony and others.
 
I don’t read too much into Thoms post, but I do agree that developing a new SoC like and Expeed 8 is not cheap especially when it’s the current Z9 owners you need on side to buy a new flagship.

Personally I think FW 6.0 will bring some updates that will help keep the Z9 as the flagship it needs to be.

I can’t see many photographers shelling out about 6k for only minor hardware updates.

Ultimately only Nikon knows what can be achieved in FW
 
I’m sure a nice number of A1 owners are waiting it out for the nexr A1-3. Unless Sony learned from Nikon to up a current camera by FW.

Regarding the Z9-2,
I think we already got the Z9-2 ahead of Canon R1 and Sony A1-2, with all the FW Nikon released. It is clearly not the same Z9 it was when it launched.
 
I don’t think it’s so much that sports photojournalists are a dominant part of the market but it’s that they are visible and therefore influential. Nikon, Canon, and Sony work diligently to cater their needs

The approach Thom Hogan describes (HE* or Lossless at 10 or 15 fps for pre-capture) I think is what might be possible via firmware.
Well, so they dominate vocally. ;)

I found these survey results, for what they're worth. The number of participants isn't huge (and they're mostly in the US), but it should be more than enough to be relevant. Apparently, portraits and weddings are leading, sports and events being only in 4th and 5th position (disregarding phone cameras, so not the results at the top of the page).


The demographics of DSLR, mirrorless and phone cameras is interesting, too, but I think the results of that type of survey can change dramatically depending on who answers if it includes a category for phone cameras. Fortunately, it's only a small portion of the participants, and it seems to involve only people really interested in photography rather than anyone who owns a camera (which is everyone with a smartphone... so almost everyone).
 
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As for me, I've perfectly happy with my Z9 and Z8; to the point that I'm likely soon giving my D850 to one of my children. I will, however, keep my D700 and its antiquated CF Flash memory cards.

And I'm also perfectly happy with what seems to be Nikon's emphasis on designing, producing and bringing great new lenses into the market!
 
Totally agree with this. I will definitely not buy a camera just for a few added features when my existing camera is already good enough. I would much rather prefer a major firmware update for which i wouldn’t mind paying..say new AF features, pre-capture in HE/HE*, higher FPS in HE formats and I don’t mind paying another 1000-1500$ depending on the features.

Honestly I'd rather see them pursue some of the low hanging fruit with further firmware updates and work on a true successor camera. I have a feeling a lukewarm Z9ii and follow-on models down the line will result in far less hardware sales. We are now in a time when these cameras are already doing things very well.

That low hanging fruit list would not sell a camera to me personally and I'd skip a generation. I don't think Nikon wants to get in that situation for sales.

As it stands the Z9 is a solid firmware update (with the Z8) away from still being competitive with Sony and Canons latest iterations. Just add RAW pre-capture and refine the AF while selling them for less and it's competitive.

Dropping an A1ii style *new* camera that looks like a very expensive firmware update probably won't sell very well. They need to take more time and release a real updated camera that pushes all of the brands forward.
 
I think the big revolution in photography going forward is to master high dynamic range.

I have been around high dynamic range ever since they introduced it in TV's. Until recently I have not been particularly happy with how high dynamic range has worked. I think it is because the existing screens and software do not do all that good a job of making high dynamic range palatable and interesting.

More recently however HDR has gotten to Lightroom as a feature you can explore during development. The problem of course is you can't see the high dynamic range image on most screens. HOWEVER, the latest Retina screen in the MacBook Pro's changes all that. I recommend that if you get hold of one of those, or if you find a good HDR monitor for PC, try running some of your images through HDR adjustment. When done right the results are breathtaking.

Of course mainstreaming HDR requires a lot of things, which of course means spending a lot of money on new equipment. Just what the photography and video companies need, a large new market.

To bring HDR fully into the mainstream the following must happen:

1. You need quality HDR screens in a massive way so most of the public can actually view these stunning images.
2. Some method needs to be found to print HDR images. This might mean using light boxes of LCD screens for images. Printing technology is way behind in capability.
3. You need cameras capable of taking photos natively in HDR. While Nikon Z9's can photograph in HDR, I learned the hard way recently that they only do that by taking two sequential images that can later be combined in post. The problem with that is you can only shoot HDR with a tripod, on a completely stationary subject. Obviously not a good wildlife tool.

I think it is pretty clear that you will need new equipment to come up with a true HDR camera. Judging from recent posts on this forum,, it is apparent that Nikon has been working with some major advances in sensor technology that will greatly speed things up. That sort of technology should make true HDR cameras possible.

I was walking along a beach earlier this week near my new house during a rare sunny day in the Pacific Northwest rainy season. I was impressed with the sunlight glistening on the water. I think it is clear to me that we as human beings live in a high dynamic range environment and we would respond to images that can fully replicate that range.

If I am right about this HDR is going to be a technique for the future. But a lot has to happen before this becomes a reality. There will never be a market for HDR images if the public does not have screens that are capable of viewing these images.

Having played around with this recently, I can tell you that HDR handled properly can really make images pop. I was very impressed with the potential.

Apple is typically in the lead or near the lead in content creator screens. The Apple Studio monitor as fine as it is does not do HDR. You have to spend 5 grand for their 6k pro monitor to get there. Yet they obviously know how to do it, you can get it today in a MacBook Pro retina screen.

Doubt me? Get a decent HDR screen and run some of your existing images through HDR in Lightroom. Let me know if you think I am onto something.
 
Re HDR...I've been shooting HDR video for a couple years now with my Z9 and since I started that and needed to acquire a display that would serve as a suitable HDR monitor, I've also been using Adobe's HDR tools in Lightroom and Photoshop for HDR stills...and the Z9 and Z8 can absolutely do so with a single image. No need to take multiple exposures...shoot in Raw with a Z9 or Raw or HEIF with a Z8 and process for HDR in Lightroom or Photoshop. The images are absolutely stunning on a calibrated OLED display.

Anyone viewing on a fairly recent iPhone or Android phone has a surprisingly HDR display in the palm of their hand. I got tired of sharing SDR content to phones via text messages or attached files that looked inferior to HDR images taken with the phones themselves.

I rarely shoot video that isn't acquired in a mode that can be processed as HDR and delivered as HDR content to YT or Vimeo. NRaw NLog or H.265 10-bit NLog will do just fine. Again, anyone with a fairly recent 4K TV or phone can view the content in HDR mode, as well as most recent mid to upper end Macbooks and Mac desktops also have a display suitable for HDR content, though not as capable with some extreme highlights.

Editing HDR and understanding the different formats is entering a new world and requires some work, but it's well worth it and the critical mass for viewing is just about there. I'll be curious to see what comes out of CES this year.

Printing...that's going to be a challenge to take full advantage of HDR qualities. The benefit of HDR comes at the high end of an image for the viewer...and extra 3-stops of scene dynamic range, all gained at the high end. That's been the challenge for displays, having high enough native contrast ratio to not wash out the blacks to get the highlights...and the same goes true for traditional prints. HDR can be done with transparencies, but when you go to that mode, you might as well use a flat panel display.

It's exciting and much will change over the next few years, but the tools are there to dive in now.
 
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