yah, so a thought here.
if you look at the af box on the second picture, yes, it's over the bird, but it ALSO includes the shrub in the af box. and the shrub is the closest thing INSIDE the af box.
one thing to think about is even if it can detect the subject, iirc, it's still probably (mostly) using the AF sensors to focus and afaik, af sensors are simple devices that simply focus on the closest thing under them.
@Steve ? I know this is probably covered in the book, my bad.
in any case, my main point is that the box shows you where it thinks it's target is, but then if you have obstructions inside that box it becomes a complicated problem for the camera.