Garfield
Well-known member
I'm quite sure the Z9 will be a big success for Nikon and its fans, but there's little chance it will capture the performance crown from Sony or Canon. Not yet anyway.
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The report is they will be demonstrating the camera and lenses at the Olympics in late July with an announcement or release in November.
The stacked sensor is a big deal. It allows the camera to use part of the sensor readout for AF, and allows faster readout to reduce rolling shutter. This alone should make the camera comparable to the Sony A1/Canon R3 or better. Nikon has also indicated there are some advanced processing technologies in the new camera - above and beyond Eye AF.
The testing at the Olympics is supposed to include new long lenses. You can't release an action or sports camera without long lenses. So the 400, 600, and 100-400 will be released in a similar time frame. These lenses will be priced accordingly. The 100-400 will probably be more of a 80-400 replacement and competitive with Canon and Sony alternatives. The 200-600 seems to be more of a consumer lens, so in my mind it fits a prosumer or enthusiast counterpart to the Z9. All of these lenses will be great optically - they are all S lenses and Nikon's Z lineup is first rate.
Don't be confused by what Sony and Canon already provide. The A1, R3, and Z9 are in a different category from other camera bodies. I ran a webinar a couple of nights ago with Arthur Morris and he indicated he's getting a 10% keeper rate with his Bird in Flight images using the A1. That's very different than perched subjects where the keeper rate is quite high. The reality is quite different than the internet would have you believe. Now his standards are high, but there are a lot of bad photos that are made even with eye AF.
As a side note, I tried hummers with it the other night. Bird-eye AF, Wide AF Area, and focus was spot on every time! Best hummingbird camera I've ever usedI wonder what birds, and what conditions resulted in this abysmal keeper rate? I’m getting a much higher rate with the hummingbirds in my yard. Even the a7rIII gave me a better keeper rate with waterfowl BIF.
His website mentions 99% BIF in focus shots with the A1, using the appropriate focus mode, so my guess is that his definition of a keeper is far more stringent than "technically perfect".I wonder what birds, and what conditions resulted in this abysmal keeper rate? I’m getting a much higher rate with the hummingbirds in my yard. Even the a7rIII gave me a better keeper rate with waterfowl BIF.
Having followed his work for decades and owning a few of his books I'm absolutely certain his definition of a keeper is far more than perfect focus and perfect exposure.so my guess is that his definition of a keeper is far more stringent than "technically perfect".
Love the metaphor!I tend to think this might be what happens as well. Lately, Nikon seems to be delivering "just enough" to stay in the game. The D6, D780, and Z series and even the new macro lens release are all solid but none of them are ground breaking and most are a smidgen behind the competition. Nikon reminds me of the student who, if given a report assignment with a 500 word minimum, turns in exactly 500 words, where Sony and Canon are turning in 1000 word + papers. It's not that it's wrong, it's just not impressive compared to the others.
As a side note, I tried hummers with it the other night. Bird-eye AF, Wide AF Area, and focus was spot on every time! Best hummingbird camera I've ever used
The report is they will be demonstrating the camera and lenses at the Olympics in late July with an announcement or release in November.
The stacked sensor is a big deal. It allows the camera to use part of the sensor readout for AF, and allows faster readout to reduce rolling shutter. This alone should make the camera comparable to the Sony A1/Canon R3 or better. Nikon has also indicated there are some advanced processing technologies in the new camera - above and beyond Eye AF.
The testing at the Olympics is supposed to include new long lenses. You can't release an action or sports camera without long lenses. So the 400, 600, and 100-400 will be released in a similar time frame. These lenses will be priced accordingly. The 100-400 will probably be more of a 80-400 replacement and competitive with Canon and Sony alternatives. The 200-600 seems to be more of a consumer lens, so in my mind it fits a prosumer or enthusiast counterpart to the Z9. All of these lenses will be great optically - they are all S lenses and Nikon's Z lineup is first rate.
Don't be confused by what Sony and Canon already provide. The A1, R3, and Z9 are in a different category from other camera bodies. I ran a webinar a couple of nights ago with Arthur Morris and he indicated he's getting a 10% keeper rate with his Bird in Flight images using the A1. That's very different than perched subjects where the keeper rate is quite high. The reality is quite different than the internet would have you believe. Now his standards are high, but there are a lot of bad photos that are made even with eye AF.
That’s for sure. The flagship cameras have never been jacks of all trade, they are actually quite niched. The interesting thing is that the A1 is changing the paradigm.I think one thing is perfectly clear here, no matter what Nikon releases...... someone isn’t going to be happy. You can’t please all of the people all of the time. Just as with cars, there is no Goldilocks model, everything has some level of compromise, you just need to find the right balance for YOU.
Maxim Gorky: "When everything is easy one quickly gets stupid".
Wow, 10% keeper rate for someone with the experience of Morris is extradornarily low. Just guessing, I would have thought he was doing far better than that when he was shooting his DSLR. As you suggested, his keeper rate is probably based on more than just sharp focus, but still...throwing out 90% is incredulous.
Come to think of it, I'm throwing out far more than I did before switching to the a1. Before the a1 the vast majority of the ones I'm now deleting would be 'keepers'. The a1 gives me a lot more to choose from and I see no need to keep the hundreds that are nearly as good as the best ones.
Is it possible that you're simply taking more images with the a1? In bursts of 30fps, it's easy to rack up the number of images on the card!Come to think of it, I'm throwing out far more than I did before switching to the a1. Before the a1 the vast majority of the ones I'm now deleting would be 'keepers'. The a1 gives me a lot more to choose from and I see no need to keep the hundreds that are nearly as good as the best ones.
Good points! After all, a F35 Lightning in the hands of a Piper Cub pilot doesn't make much sense!Technology has been changing at a much higher rate now a days. Back then we bought equipment to last a lifetime. Today we may still think of investments as long-term, but now it's about a long-term eco system rather than a product, because the average lifetime of electronic products unfortunately reduced down to 3 years (be it phones, computers or cameras).
I personally take my time and upgrade on a slower pace than most, because I enjoy the ride. I don't want to jump form a slow VW Beatle directly to a 911 Porsche.. I rather enjoy smaller increments. So I started with the entry level D3200, improved my skills till my gear became the bottleneck. I then made the jump to the D7500 (in 2018) together with the 200-500 (that replaced my 55-200). I immediately saw improvements in my wildlife photography. This year I made the next jump to the wonderful D850 together with the versatile 300 PF. Once again this upgrade blew my mind. I can now push my skills to the next level.. until my next jump to Z9/R6/A1.
I think it's essential to sharpen your skills before relying on High tech.. because once your rely on high tech, certain skills tend to rust.. Sure high tech increases our chances of getting that perfect shot, and it would be foolish not to make best use of it..
that's basically why I will gradually work my way up to the high tech Z9/R6/A1.. Nikon served me well over the past 25 years, and since I am not in a hurry, I'll give them the benefit of the doubt.
IMO I guess there won't be an improved FTZ considering the discontinuation of F glass that already started. I hope the Z will be as good as the competition, but it is unlikely to surpass them, considering the current gap and recent Z products releases. Is the Nikon still a great system, yes, otherwise it wouldn't have won many awards including best APS-C Z50 or Best Landscape Z7ii (DPReview). True, Sony and Canon are ahead in certain aspects, but those aspects are not crucial to all photographers.
Which ever system you shoot, I wish all a happy weekend and stay safe, since the new Indian mutation is starting to stir up some trouble here in Europe :(
Is it possible that you're simply taking more images with the a1? In bursts of 30fps, it's easy to rack up the number of images on the card!
Morris wrote that 99% of his A1 images are eye focus sharp.Wow, 10% keeper rate for someone with the experience of Morris is extradornarily low. Just guessing, I would have thought he was doing far better than that when he was shooting his DSLR. As you suggested, his keeper rate is probably based on more than just sharp focus, but still...throwing out 90% is incredulous.
Is he paid by Sony to promote their products?Morris wrote that 99% of his A1 images are eye focus sharp.
Yes the 400 f:4 DO v2 is an outstanding lens but it's not getting that much love as it is in an odd spot. With the latest weight reduction on the 500 f:4 and the fact that the 400 DO costs almost $7k - most folks decide to bite the bullet and go all the way to the 500f:4.Canon has had PF (DO in Canon speak) for many years. They had different focal lengths, but they do have them.